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l April 2004 l

The Kashmir Bachao Andolan Publication

l Vol 3, No 11 l

A N A L Y S I S

Pakistan / Israel: Challenges ahead!
Swaraj Singh


Pakistan and Israel look very different because one is an Islamic state while the other is a Jewish state, but both have something in common. Both these countries did not evolve historically but were imposed by the western powers. The western imperialist powers wanted a permanent and reliable foothold in the Indian subcontinent and in the middle east. These countries did not come into existence as a result of genuine national liberation struggles of the people but were imposed by the collaboration of the elitist groups with the imperial powers. 

From the very beginning, the creation of these countries led to a lot of turmoil and suffering for many people. About one million innocent Muslims, Hindus, and Sikhs were brutally murdered and many women were raped. Millions were uprooted and became refugees in 1947 when Pakistan was created. 

The creation of Israel also led to the killing of many Palestinians and millions of Palestinians became refugees. Many Palestinians continued to suffer untold sufferings in the refugee camps. 

Pakistan played a very important role in bringing down the Soviet Union. Pakistan was used as the main base to train and arm the Taliban. The Taliban brought down the pro-Soviet regime in Afghanistan and inflicted a humiliating defeat on the Soviet troops in Afghanistan. This played a very important role in the collapse of the Soviet Union. Today, the same Taliban and Islamists have become bitter adversaries of Pakistan's rulers. 

They have blamed Pakistan's rulers of being pro-America, pro-Israel, and siding with them against the Muslims. These are very serious charges and General Musharraf can not be very comfortable because he knows what happened to Anwar Sadat (who took similar blame). The call for the overthrow of General Musharraf is not limited to just a change of the leadership at the top, actually it will bring very fundamental changes in Pakistan's political structure and hierarchy. 

Pakistan has been ruled primarily by the Punjabi-dominated army. This Punjabi elite has abandoned their mother tongue, Punjabi, and have adopted Urdu, while all other nationalities in Pakistan have stuck to their mother tongues. Sindhis, Baluchs, and people living in the north west frontier speak their mother tongues. 

America has decided that Pakistani ruling military elite is its non-NATO ally; all sanctions on Pakistan have been lifted and all the loans have been written off. America wants Pakistan to eradicate Islamic fundamentalists from the Pakistan-Afghanistan border. Pakistan's military campaign against the Muslim fundamentalists has turned out to be a big failure. 

While the elite has become America's closest ally in the Indian subcontinent, the majority of people in Pakistan still have an unfavorable opinion about America. The local tribal people and religious leaders in Pakistan have condemned this campaign. It is becoming obvious that the Punjabi-dominated Pakistani army will no longer be able to dominate the non-Punjabi population. There seem to be two possible outcomes. 

The first, Pakistan can go through an Islamic revolution like Iran had. The second, Pakistan's military elite can tilt towards India. America will naturally prefer the second option. That is why America wants relations between India and Pakistan to improve at this time. In practice, that means relations between the two Punjabs (Indian and Pakistani Punjabs) will improve. 

The best solution for the Indian subcontinent is the emergence of a South Asian Economic Alliance on the pattern of European Union and ASEAN. Even though conditions in the Indian subcontinent are different than Europe and Southeast Asia, the general principles of alliance are relevant to this region also because regional cooperation is a global trend. 

srael continues to face growing isolation in the world. After Israel assassinated Ahmed Yassin, the founder of Hamas, the security council vote showed its isolation. Only America voted in favor of Israel, eleven countries, including Russia and China, voted against Israel. No European country voted in Israel's favor. America had to use its veto to stop the revolution. This made America's relations with the Islamic world from bad to worse. The European union condemned Israel in its meeting. It is becoming increasingly clear that Europe is bent upon taking over the leadership of the Western world from America. It is also clear that Europe is a lot more sympathetic to Palestinians than America is. The growing value of the Euro as compared to the American dollar can be of little comfort to Israel. 

Israel should learn from the American experience in Iraq and from the Russian experience in Afghanistan. It was a debacle in Afghanistan which led to the collapse of the Soviet Union. It is becoming increasingly clear that Iraq has the potential of becoming another Vietnam for America. The only difference between the Iraq and Vietnam experiences could be that there was no Europe waiting to take over the leadership of the western world. It is clear that force alone can be very counterproductive. 

If the only superpower in the world can not have its way by using force, then how can a small country, Israel, surrounded by unfriendly nations expect to win with force alone? All the countries of the world will have to accept the inevitable reality that the era of a uni-polar world and unilateralist policy is over and a new world order of a multipolar world with a multilateral approach is just around the corner.  

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